Comments on: 4 Major Developments All Gold Investors Should Watch http://www.goldstockbull.com/articles/4-major-developments-all-gold-investors-should-watch/ Gold, Silver and Energy Investment Strategies. Analysis of gold stocks, silver stocks and alternative energy stocks. Thu, 11 Mar 2010 07:33:48 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: kamel http://www.goldstockbull.com/articles/4-major-developments-all-gold-investors-should-watch/comment-page-1/#comment-238120 kamel Tue, 15 Dec 2009 03:11:25 +0000 http://www.goldstockbull.com/?p=1192#comment-238120 Hello everyone, Hello everyone,

]]> By: Don Davis http://www.goldstockbull.com/articles/4-major-developments-all-gold-investors-should-watch/comment-page-1/#comment-232355 Don Davis Tue, 22 Sep 2009 15:04:33 +0000 http://www.goldstockbull.com/?p=1192#comment-232355 About your "note that the commercial net short position increase was actually less than the increase in total open interest." I wondered, what is the history of this measure, and does it have predictive value? HISTORY: This measure jumps around a lot. You note a value of 13 k (change in commercial net short - change in open interest) for 9/11/09. The preceding weekly values were (in k, in reverse chronology): 0, -1, 7, -3, -19, -3, -2, 7. PREDICTIVE VALUE: Recent tops were accompanied by mixed, large values, mostly positive: -24 for the COT report of 6/5/09, 17 for 2/27/09, 23 for 7/18/08, and 11 for 3/21/08--the last time gold exceeded $1000/oz. So the number you note may have no predictive value, or it might suggest a top. You interpret that the recent 13 k means the commercials "were unable to absorb all of the buying pressure." Would it not be equally valid to interpret that others besides the commercials were jumping on the short side that week? (The non-commercials and non-reporting traders.) About your “note that the commercial net short position increase was actually less than the increase in total open interest.” I wondered, what is the history of this measure, and does it have predictive value? HISTORY: This measure jumps around a lot. You note a value of 13 k (change in commercial net short – change in open interest) for 9/11/09. The preceding weekly values were (in k, in reverse chronology): 0, -1, 7, -3, -19, -3, -2, 7. PREDICTIVE VALUE: Recent tops were accompanied by mixed, large values, mostly positive: -24 for the COT report of 6/5/09, 17 for 2/27/09, 23 for 7/18/08, and 11 for 3/21/08–the last time gold exceeded $1000/oz. So the number you note may have no predictive value, or it might suggest a top. You interpret that the recent 13 k means the commercials “were unable to absorb all of the buying pressure.” Would it not be equally valid to interpret that others besides the commercials were jumping on the short side that week? (The non-commercials and non-reporting traders.)

]]> By: Jason Hamlin http://www.goldstockbull.com/articles/4-major-developments-all-gold-investors-should-watch/comment-page-1/#comment-231954 Jason Hamlin Tue, 15 Sep 2009 18:36:08 +0000 http://www.goldstockbull.com/?p=1192#comment-231954 Another one is that Central Banks are becoming NET GOLD BUYERS! http://www.reuters.com/article/usDollarRpt/idUSN1440639620090914 Another one is that Central Banks are becoming NET GOLD BUYERS!

http://www.reuters.com/article/usDollarRpt/idUSN1440639620090914

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